16 Trends: Their Profound Impact on Our Future - Classroom 2.02024-03-29T11:30:59Zhttps://www.classroom20.com/forum/topics/649749:Topic:40336?commentId=649749%3AComment%3A67932&feed=yes&xn_auth=noYah, I'm pretty sure that a 9…tag:www.classroom20.com,2007-11-29:649749:Comment:823052007-11-29T03:06:44.225ZGinger Lewmanhttps://www.classroom20.com/profile/GingerTPLC
Yah, I'm pretty sure that a 92-page overview and a 408 page book on the topic are not really the same thing as a top 10 list.
Yah, I'm pretty sure that a 92-page overview and a 408 page book on the topic are not really the same thing as a top 10 list. The book sounds very interest…tag:www.classroom20.com,2007-11-07:649749:Comment:721572007-11-07T00:47:48.614ZRandy Rivershttps://www.classroom20.com/profile/rrivers
The book sounds very interesting and similar to much of what Daniel Pink writes about in his book A Whole New Mind. Pink also does and exceptionally dynamic keynote address on the concepts in the book. This is a must-read for Web 2.0 centric thinkers.
The book sounds very interesting and similar to much of what Daniel Pink writes about in his book A Whole New Mind. Pink also does and exceptionally dynamic keynote address on the concepts in the book. This is a must-read for Web 2.0 centric thinkers. i haven't read it yet, but it…tag:www.classroom20.com,2007-10-30:649749:Comment:685892007-10-30T19:21:24.935ZPaul Driverhttps://www.classroom20.com/profile/PaulDriver
i haven't read it yet, but it's interesting to see how the web trend (à la digg et al) of packaging content into easy-to-swallow "top 10" list formats, is now becoming fashionable in the book world.<br />
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Take a look at this top 10 list of reasons why top tens are so popular.<br />
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<a href="http://www.modernlifeisrubbish.co.uk/article/10-reasons-why-top-10-lists-are-so-popular">http://www.modernlifeisrubbish.co.uk/article/10-reasons-why-top-10-lists-are-so-popular</a>
i haven't read it yet, but it's interesting to see how the web trend (à la digg et al) of packaging content into easy-to-swallow "top 10" list formats, is now becoming fashionable in the book world.<br />
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Take a look at this top 10 list of reasons why top tens are so popular.<br />
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<a href="http://www.modernlifeisrubbish.co.uk/article/10-reasons-why-top-10-lists-are-so-popular">http://www.modernlifeisrubbish.co.uk/article/10-reasons-why-top-10-lists-are-so-popular</a> Another good source of inform…tag:www.classroom20.com,2007-10-29:649749:Comment:679322007-10-29T13:34:25.323ZMarielle Langehttps://www.classroom20.com/profile/widged
Another good source of information, with most documents free, is the JISC, here in the UK (higher education, which is my background). Run a google search on <a href="http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=jisc+%22white+paper%22+filetype%3Apdf&btnG=Google+Search">jisc "white paper" filetype:pdf</a> to try and locate some of their reports.<br />
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This is about higher education rather than schools, but the analysis of trends applies across the board. There is, for instance, a very thourough report…
Another good source of information, with most documents free, is the JISC, here in the UK (higher education, which is my background). Run a google search on <a href="http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=jisc+%22white+paper%22+filetype%3Apdf&btnG=Google+Search">jisc "white paper" filetype:pdf</a> to try and locate some of their reports.<br />
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This is about higher education rather than schools, but the analysis of trends applies across the board. There is, for instance, a very thourough report on 21st skills.... I can't locate the printed version easily, it's somewhere on a cargo on the way to NZ. I will have to find the link to it.<br />
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I have a bunch of such publications on my computer. If there is an interest, I can provide a full list of references. If the purpose is to try and use this information to influence better practices rather than share opinions, a wiki could come in handy. I can offer space or some wiki farm can be used. Why not try it for yourself, collaboration, cooperation, exchanging ideas across areas of specialization, using information on practices in other fields of study (business, computing, etc.).<br />
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Again, this explains my criticism. My interest in Marx is not too high because I already share many of the opinions he expresses. I am already convinced of the benefit there is to increase co-operation, encourage creativity, broaden the scoe. My concern is on the next step, how to transform these values into reality. Fair enough, Ginger
Now if I…tag:www.classroom20.com,2007-10-29:649749:Comment:679162007-10-29T12:47:37.013ZIan Carmichaelhttps://www.classroom20.com/profile/icarmichael
Fair enough, Ginger<br />
Now if I can just get our library...<br />
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Sorry this reply isn't in the right place - I haven't quite figured out the idiosyncrasies of the 'Reply to this' control!
Fair enough, Ginger<br />
Now if I can just get our library...<br />
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Sorry this reply isn't in the right place - I haven't quite figured out the idiosyncrasies of the 'Reply to this' control! @Ian C. The short answer is t…tag:www.classroom20.com,2007-10-29:649749:Comment:679102007-10-29T12:34:51.294ZMarielle Langehttps://www.classroom20.com/profile/widged
@Ian C. The short answer is that there is a vast amount of articles on these topics. More than any of us has time to read. Some of these articles are indeed a bit shallow, lacking strong substance. This is to be expected as it comments mostly on trends that have taken place over the last 5-10 years. That is things we have observed but don't understand clearly yet. Another problem is that what is used as trend indicator is sometimes the result of the work of some innovators or lone rangers. It's…
@Ian C. The short answer is that there is a vast amount of articles on these topics. More than any of us has time to read. Some of these articles are indeed a bit shallow, lacking strong substance. This is to be expected as it comments mostly on trends that have taken place over the last 5-10 years. That is things we have observed but don't understand clearly yet. Another problem is that what is used as trend indicator is sometimes the result of the work of some innovators or lone rangers. It's not clear that this will become mainstream. Partly because there are many other forces at play.<br />
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This is my main problem with Gary Marx article. A one sided view is proposed, with little information on these other forces. Yes, life expectancy has increased steadily up to this millenium but the new generation is one that has a different lifestyle, spending much more time in front of TV or computers. Obesity problems develop, health problems follow. We are in a period of excess. History shows that things tend to swing from one excess to the other. It's unlikely that things will continue "exponentially" as he proposes. If we try and push too much in one direction without acknowledging these different forces, we could cause a crisis (revolutions and wars have happened in the past). Getting there successfully requires an in-depth understanding of both favorable and unfavorable forces.<br />
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Most of these reports put the school and governmental funded institutions as the agents of changes. Let's face it. Most of the changes that we have observed in our educational system has been primarily driven by changes that have happened outside of the educational system. School systems are in my opinion lagging 5 to 10 years behind main societal trends. Universities lag 3-30 years (depending on country, quality of the university, field of study). Social networking and collaboration. Availability of resources. Client/Student centered learning. Involving clients/students in the design of their learning, etc.<br />
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Because of that, I tend to turn to books published in the business arena to try and understand future trends.<br />
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There is for instance a very nice book, <a href="http://www.amazon.co.uk/Meaning-Inc-Blueprint-Business-Success/dp/1861978839">Meaning Inc.: The Blueprint for Business Success in the 21st Century</a>, that contains in-depth analyses substantiated by observation and solid research. Both the book and overview ar…tag:www.classroom20.com,2007-10-29:649749:Comment:679062007-10-29T12:27:55.321ZMarielle Langehttps://www.classroom20.com/profile/widged
Both the book and overview are items you have to purchase. Based on what I have read written by Gary Marx across the web, I am not prepared to purchase these books ;-).<br />
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To start a discussion... and such a discussion would be very interesting to have indeed, it may be easier to use the <a href="http://www.kwfdn.org/map/">map of future trends</a>, that everybody can freely access.<br />
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To give an idea (I have no involvement with that team... but I know that somebody from the KnF is part of the…
Both the book and overview are items you have to purchase. Based on what I have read written by Gary Marx across the web, I am not prepared to purchase these books ;-).<br />
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To start a discussion... and such a discussion would be very interesting to have indeed, it may be easier to use the <a href="http://www.kwfdn.org/map/">map of future trends</a>, that everybody can freely access.<br />
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To give an idea (I have no involvement with that team... but I know that somebody from the KnF is part of the classroom20 community).<br />
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The map lists 3 key elements:<br />
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<b>Trend</b>: represents major shifts, new phenomena and concepts, and driving forces that will shape the future context of education. Some trends listed are personalized learning plans, participatory pedagogy, serious games, do-it yourself kits, etc.<br />
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<b>Hotspot</b>: Hotposts are trends that are thought to have a broad impact on education and make good starting points for exploring the map. Examples are: explosion of learning agents, media-rich pervasive learning, deep personalization, VUCA (volatility, uncertainty, complexity, ambiguity) communities.<br />
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<b>Dilemna</b>: Problems that can’t be solved and won’t go away. They require new strategies that go beyond either-or thinking. An example of dilemna listed on the map is achieving standards and personalization.<br />
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The map plots these different trends according to two dimensions.<br />
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The horizontal axis groups the <b>impact areas</b>: Family & Community, Markets, Institutions, Educators & Learning, Tools & Practices.<br />
The vertical axis groups the <b>drivers</b>: the end of cyberspace (from physical vs digital to seamlessly physical and digital), urban wilderness (from predominantly rural to predominantly urban spaces), sick herd (from improving quality of life to increasing signs of distress), strong opinions (from a global media culture to a splintered fundamentalism), smart networking (from informed citizens to engaged networkers), assorted economics (from economies of scale to economies of groups). Wow. I really have to say the…tag:www.classroom20.com,2007-10-29:649749:Comment:678572007-10-29T10:13:21.449ZGinger Lewmanhttps://www.classroom20.com/profile/GingerTPLC
Wow. I really have to say there are some strong opinions being tossed out here about the legitimacy of the research being done on this book. I'm all for questioning research, but...<br />
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Perhaps instead of looking at a 4 page pdf and judging the research base that we look a bit more deeply into the <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Sixteen-Trends-Profound-Impact-Future/dp/1931762481/ref=pd_bbs_1/104-0879253-7386324?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1193652380&sr=8-1">408 page book</a>, or at least the…
Wow. I really have to say there are some strong opinions being tossed out here about the legitimacy of the research being done on this book. I'm all for questioning research, but...<br />
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Perhaps instead of looking at a 4 page pdf and judging the research base that we look a bit more deeply into the <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Sixteen-Trends-Profound-Impact-Future/dp/1931762481/ref=pd_bbs_1/104-0879253-7386324?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1193652380&sr=8-1">408 page book</a>, or at least the <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Overview-Sixteen-Trends-Profound-Impact/dp/193176252X/ref=pd_sim_b_shvl_img_1/104-0879253-7386324">92 page overview</a>, where the author has an opportunity to cite the research that he and the <a href="http://www.ers.org/">Educational Research Service</a> have done.<br />
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I'm glad you find the topic interesting, and my purpose in posting this was to see if anyone had anything of interest to say after they'd done some reading of this work. I'm not sure that a 4page pdf qualifies a person to trash a lack a research. Then again, a 408 page book may indeed be full of hooey. We don't know unless we've read it and reviewed the citations. Thanks Marielle,
This analysi…tag:www.classroom20.com,2007-10-29:649749:Comment:678052007-10-29T06:59:23.604ZIan Carmichaelhttps://www.classroom20.com/profile/icarmichael
Thanks Marielle,<br />
This analysis highlights a worrying trend, perhaps there's a new forum to be started from it. There are a whole lot of gee whiz stories about a vast range of things. I'd love to find/see a repository of solid research. Fluff and soft research really clog up the capacity to think and plan, and impact the future. The 16 trends look nice (aside from the spelling mistakes!), and even nicer is the look of the future forces map - but is there substance under the appearance? Ray…
Thanks Marielle,<br />
This analysis highlights a worrying trend, perhaps there's a new forum to be started from it. There are a whole lot of gee whiz stories about a vast range of things. I'd love to find/see a repository of solid research. Fluff and soft research really clog up the capacity to think and plan, and impact the future. The 16 trends look nice (aside from the spelling mistakes!), and even nicer is the look of the future forces map - but is there substance under the appearance? Ray Kurzweil has some traction as a practitioner as well as a pundit but even there...<br />
Any directions for solid research - or am I just a grouchy old educator who remembers too many fads and fancies who doesn't understand what research is in a fast-paced dynamic knowledge creating postmodern era ? The end got cut. In short, do…tag:www.classroom20.com,2007-10-29:649749:Comment:677012007-10-29T02:06:21.858ZMarielle Langehttps://www.classroom20.com/profile/widged
The end got cut. In short, don't take this for an opposition to this kind of ideas.<br />
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My criticisms come from the fact that I am interested in shaping the future. Encouraging this kind of beliefs and opinions is of course an important first step. But little happens if you do nothing else but share opinions.<br />
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Better analyses are required to guide decisions and define concrete actions susceptible to shape that future.<br />
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I found this report, on the <a href="http://www.kwfdn.org/map/">map of future…</a>
The end got cut. In short, don't take this for an opposition to this kind of ideas.<br />
<br />
My criticisms come from the fact that I am interested in shaping the future. Encouraging this kind of beliefs and opinions is of course an important first step. But little happens if you do nothing else but share opinions.<br />
<br />
Better analyses are required to guide decisions and define concrete actions susceptible to shape that future.<br />
<br />
I found this report, on the <a href="http://www.kwfdn.org/map/">map of future forces in education</a>, to be a lot more valuable in that respect.